Governor Kim Reynolds’ decision not to seek reelection in 2026 marks a critical turning point in Iowa politics. Love her or loathe her, Reynolds shaped the state’s policies and priorities for nearly a decade. Now, her departure opens the door to a new chapter—and possibly a very different direction. Iowa’s future path depends on who decides to run. It also depends on who shows up to vote. Following is a detailed comparison of the individuals considered contenders for the Office. These individuals have either declared or are strongly rumored to be eyeing the governor’s mansion.

Brad Sherman (Republican)

Brad Sherman is a Republican and former Iowa House Representative from District 91. He was the first from his party to officially jump into the 2026 race. Sherman was a longtime Christian pastor and faith leader before his political debut. He brings a distinctly moralistic vision to governance. His vision is also traditionalist. His legislative term was short. However, during that time, he focused on policies emphasizing parental rights. He also stressed religious freedom and opposition to abortion. He desires a return to “God-centered values” in public policy. He aligns with social conservative movements. His roots in religious leadership place him squarely in the lane of Reynolds-style politics. His approach is possibly even more overt in tone and intention.

Sherman is likely to appeal to evangelical voters, family-values conservatives, and individuals who believe cultural progressivism has gone too far. His messaging focuses on perceived threats to religious liberty. He describes government overreach into family and faith institutions. His pastoral background also gives him natural charisma and presence on the campaign trail.

But there are barriers. Sherman lacks executive or broad legislative experience and has never managed large public systems. He has little visibility in urban and moderate circles. In short, his coalition might be loyal but narrow. That said, if the Republican primary becomes crowded, a committed base could carry him far. His challenge will be proving that he can govern all of Iowa—not just those who share his pulpit.

Paul Dahl (Democrat)

Paul Dahl is often overlooked by political pundits. However, he deserves attention. He was the first declared Democratic candidate in the race. His candidacy reflects a populist frustration that continues to bubble beneath the surface of Iowa politics. Dahl is a bus driver from Webster City, and a self-described “working-class progressive.” His name recognition is low. His previous campaigns for public office, including Secretary of State and Congress, were unsuccessful. However, his unwavering commitment to public service and policy reform is evident.

Dahl’s platform includes overturning restrictive abortion legislation. It also includes fully funding public education. Additionally, it involves enacting clean water protections and holding agricultural corporations accountable for pollution. He speaks passionately about class inequality and the abandonment of rural Iowans by both political parties. He has no deep-pocketed backers. He doesn’t appear to be chasing endorsements. His campaign could resonate with younger voters, disaffected Democrats, and independents who feel unrepresented by mainstream candidates.

However, Dahl faces serious challenges. His lack of a formal campaign infrastructure, limited fundraising capacity, and track record of electoral defeat make him a longshot. He will need a strategic communications overhaul and statewide outreach to be seen as a viable contender. But his authenticity may resonate in a race filled with well-rehearsed soundbites. Dahl’s greatest political asset may be his consistency. He’s not new to this fight—and he’s not afraid to speak plainly about the stakes. If nothing else, his presence in the race keeps essential issues and neglected perspectives on the table.

Rob Sand (Democrat – Potential Candidate)

If Rob Sand enters the race, he will immediately be the Democratic front-runner. As State Auditor since 2019, Sand has built a reputation for competence, fiscal responsibility, and cross-party appeal. His signature initiative—the Public Innovations and Efficiencies (PIE) program—helped local governments save millions by improving budgetary practices. That initiative earned him praise not just from Democrats. His hands-on approach to audits and investigations also earned him praise from moderate Republicans who appreciate accountability in government. Sand remains the only Democrat elected statewide in Iowa. His name is a beacon of hope for Democrats looking to win back the governor’s office.

Sand’s strengths are obvious: he’s articulate, ethically grounded, and seen as trustworthy by a wide swath of voters. His public appearances and messaging focus on efficiency, transparency, and eliminating waste—key themes in a state that values frugality. He also avoids inflammatory rhetoric and tends to frame disagreements in civil, respectful terms.

But there are political risks. Sand’s moderate tone may not satisfy progressives eager for bold stances on abortion access, LGBTQ+ rights, or environmental regulation. His potential opponents could also criticize his lack of executive experience in managing agencies beyond audits. Most pressing, though, is his lack of an official campaign announcement. If he waits too long to enter the race, he risks giving up the spotlight. Lesser-known candidates could get a head start on framing the issues. Still, in a state weary of extreme rhetoric, Sand’s thoughtful and pragmatic approach could give him an edge. His approach could make him a formidable general election candidate. This is especially true if Iowa’s political winds begin to shift.

Brenna Bird (Republican – Potential Candidate)

Attorney General Brenna Bird is perhaps the most polarizing potential candidate in the Republican camp. Elected in 2022, Bird quickly made headlines by aligning herself with the national conservative legal movement. She joined other Republican AGs in challenging Biden administration policies, launching lawsuits related to immigration, environmental regulations, and transgender protections. Bird also opposed federal efforts to protect abortion access post-Roe. She has made clear that she supports further restrictions on reproductive healthcare in Iowa.

Bird’s political strengths include name recognition, legal credentials, and fierce alignment with the state’s dominant conservative base. She is popular among the same voters who supported Kim Reynolds. These voters prioritize “law and order,” small government, and social traditionalism. Her record suggests she’d continue, if not escalate, Reynolds-era policies on education, gender, and parental rights. She’s also an aggressive fundraiser, with strong ties to national GOP networks.

On the other hand, Bird is a lightning rod. Her adversarial legal style could alienate swing voters, particularly those in metro areas or university towns. Critics argue she has used the AG’s office as a political weapon. It is seen as a political tool rather than a neutral institution. Her legal challenges often read more as symbolic gestures. They are not seen as practical policy interventions. If Bird runs, expect a campaign fueled by hot-button issues and media-driven clashes. Iowa voters will face a major decision. Do they want four more years of that tone? Or are they ready for a quieter, more technocratic leader? This will be one of the defining questions of 2026.

Zach Nunn (Republican – Potential Candidate)

Zach Nunn, currently serving in the U.S. House representing Iowa’s 3rd Congressional District, is widely viewed as a rising star in the GOP. Nunn is a military veteran and a former member of the Iowa State Senate. He brings with him a blend of public service and disciplined leadership. His Congressional focus has included national security, veterans’ issues, small business growth, and cyber defense. He has so far avoided extreme rhetoric and has worked across the aisle on select issues. Nunn appeals to both traditional conservatives and moderate Republicans who value order and competency over cultural grievance politics.

If Nunn enters the governor’s race, his military background will be front and center. It provides him with credibility on leadership and public trust, and it also distinguishes him from more ideologically driven candidates. He can point to tangible legislation, a national security background, and a narrative of disciplined, service-first leadership.

However, Nunn’s federal profile could be a double-edged sword. Critics may ask how much time he has spent addressing Iowa-specific issues. His record in D.C., while not inflammatory, may not translate well into the executive needs of a state office. He may hesitate to challenge the Reynolds legacy directly. This could alienate some Republican primary voters. These voters either want a full-throated defense or a clear repudiation. Still, Nunn’s broad appeal, relatively low negatives, and strong resume make him a serious contender should he run. His moderate tone might prove especially powerful in a general election—especially if his opponent leans hard into partisanship.

Ashley Hinson (Republican – Potential Candidate)

Ashley Hinson, a former journalist and current U.S. Representative from Iowa’s 2nd District, is another name circulating as a possible gubernatorial contender. With a background in local media and previous service in the Iowa House, Hinson combines communication savvy with legislative experience. She has built her brand around kitchen-table issues: infrastructure, tax relief, broadband expansion, and economic recovery in rural areas. Hinson has also consistently voted in line with GOP positions on immigration, abortion, and gun rights. However, she tends to frame these stances in less combative language than some of her colleagues.

Hinson’s biggest asset is her relatability. She presents herself as a suburban mom who understands everyday concerns—school policies, grocery prices, internet access. She’s also comfortable in front of cameras, making her a natural media presence. Her district includes both red-leaning and swing counties. She has had to walk the line between appealing to the base and avoiding alienation of moderates. Her voting record suggests she can maintain that balance.

Still, if Hinson enters the race, she’ll have to reconcile her public image. Her voting record closely aligns with national MAGA policies. Her support for repealing reproductive rights, for example, may be at odds with her broader appeal to suburban women. Critics may question whether her experience in Congress has equipped her with the tools to manage a sprawling state budget. They may also question her ability to lead multiple departments. That said, she has statewide viability and could position herself as a pragmatic conservative alternative in a crowded primary.

Mike Naig (Republican – Potential Candidate)

Mike Naig has been Iowa’s Secretary of Agriculture since 2018. He brings with him the strongest ties to rural voters. He deeply connects with the farming community. Naig is a steady, no-drama figure. He has focused on agricultural innovation, soil health, and water quality. He also prioritizes trade access for Iowa’s vast farming sector. Unlike some of the louder Republican figures, Naig has stayed in his lane. He rarely engages in partisan brawls. Instead, he focuses on industry partnerships. He works on modernizing farming practices and advocates for farmers’ access to new markets and sustainable technology.

If he runs for governor, Naig will likely lean on his reputation for competence. He will also depend on his strong network in Iowa’s ag-heavy counties. He is not a culture warrior. He rarely comments on hot-button social issues. This could help him stand out in a primary full of candidates racing to the ideological right. His leadership during drought responses, conservation initiatives, and ag trade disputes has been mostly well-received. He’s known for having good relationships with both farm groups and business leaders.

But Naig’s challenges are real. His expertise is deep but narrow. He’ll need to demonstrate that he can govern outside of agriculture. He must weigh in meaningfully on issues like education, healthcare, public safety, and civil rights. In a heated Republican primary, he may also lack the rhetorical firepower that base voters have grown accustomed to. Still, if voters want substance, stability, and results-driven governance, Naig may be the sleeper candidate to watch.

Jennifer Konfrst (Democrat – Potential Candidate)

Jennifer Konfrst is the current Minority Leader in the Iowa House of Representatives. She is widely respected across the Democratic party for her intelligence and discipline. Her advocacy on public education and reproductive rights is also highly regarded. Konfrst has a background in journalism and communications. She also has a tenure as a professor at Drake University. She brings an educator’s perspective to state politics. She’s passionate about access to information, equitable education funding, and rebuilding trust in government institutions. Though she hasn’t declared her candidacy, many within her party are urging her to run.

Konfrst’s legislative focus has consistently been on public schools and transparency. She opposes GOP-led efforts to censor books. She also fights against restricting LGBTQ+ rights and banning curriculum about race and gender. She has earned a loyal following among educators, parents, and progressive groups across the state. Her calm, focused demeanor is often contrasted with the performative style of her political opponents.

However, Konfrst may struggle to build name recognition beyond Capitol insiders and education advocates. She’s not well-known outside of Des Moines. Republicans will quickly label her as too liberal for rural voters. But her policy chops, thoughtful communication style, and collaborative leadership record make her an intriguing possibility. If Democrats want to put forward a candidate with legislative experience, they should consider Konfrst strongly. She has a deep understanding of Iowa’s public policy landscape.

Wrapping It All Up!

Elections aren’t spectator sports. Every Iowan reading this has a role to play. They help shape who leads us next. They influence what values we allow into our Capitol. Silence is not neutral. Silence is how Reynolds was reelected. Silence is how policies you disagree with become permanent.

Now is the time to ask questions. Go to candidate forums. Read their policies, not just their slogans. Ask who’s funding them. Ask who they listen to. Ask what they’ll do when no one’s watching.

More importantly, help others vote. Register your neighbors. Drive your grandma. Talk to that coworker who’s “not political.” Because you know who is political? Everyone shaping your schools, your roads, your taxes, your rights.

If you want change, don’t wait for it. Vote for it. Fight for it. Show up. Because Iowa belongs to all of us—and no one should sit this one out!!